No major change is likely to occur in China’s policy towards Southeast Asia in Xi’s second term, but the perceived policy success during his first term and a new confidence are likely to generate a new push to achieve even greater gains.
President Xi Jinping has emerged out of last month’s 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party as a new paramount leader of China on a par with Mao Zedong, founder of the People’s Republic of China (PRC), and Deng Xiaoping, engineer of the reform policy that has delivered China’s economic rise. It is an extraordinary measure of his dominance in Chinese politics that he is the first living leader to be named as a guide for the party since Mao died in 1976. With ‘Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era’ written into the party constitution, he now—along with Marx, Lenin, Mao and Deng—defines the meaning of Chinese Communism. As The Economist puts it, ‘The congress has consolidated his authority not just for five years but, in effect, for life.’
China’s diplomatic leverage over North Korea is zero (quoted by the New York Times, 23 September 2017)
I was quoted by the New York Times, “At U.N. and in the Air, North Korea and U.S. trade tough messages,” September 23, 2017.